Sec. 6412. ASSESSMENT OF LIKELY COURSE OF WAR IN UKRAINE

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## SEC. 6412 ASSESSMENT OF LIKELY COURSE OF WAR IN UKRAINE ###

(a)Definition of Appropriate Committees of Congress In this section, the term “**appropriate committees of Congress**” means— ####

(1)the congressional intelligence committees; ####

(2)the Committee on Armed Services, the Committee on Foreign Relations and the Committee on Appropriations of the Senate; and ####

(3)the Committee on Armed Services, the Committee on Foreign Affairs and the Committee on Appropriations of the House of Representatives. ###

(b)In General Not later than 90 days after the date of the enactment of this Act, the Director of National Intelligence, in collaboration with the Director of the Defense Intelligence Agency and the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency, shall submit to the appropriate committees of Congress an assessment of the likely course of the war in Ukraine through December 31, 2025. ###

(c)Elements The assessment required by subsection

(b)shall include an assessment of each of the following: ####

(1)The ability of the military of Ukraine to defend against Russian aggression if the United States continues or discontinues military and economic assistance to Ukraine and maintains or withdraws policy restrictions on the use of United States weapons during the period described in such subsection. ####

(2)The likely course of the war during such period based on the scenarios described in paragraph (1). ####

(3)The ability and willingness of other countries to continue or discontinue military and economic assistance to Ukraine based on the assessments required by paragraphs

(1)and (2), including the ability of such countries to make up for any shortfall in United States assistance. ####

(4)The effects of a potential defeat of Ukraine by the Russian Federation on United States national security and foreign policy interests, including the potential for further aggression from the Russian Federation, the People’s Republic of China, the Islamic Republic of Iran, and the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea. ###

(d)Form The assessment required by subsection

(b)shall be submitted in unclassified form, but may include a classified annex.