Notices. Revisions to Appendix C of OMB Circular A-94
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/register/2018/02/08/2018-02520A research copy — for the controlling text, always check the official state or federal source. Not legal advice.
BILLING CODE 7020-02-P OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET Discount Rates for Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Federal Programs AGENCY: Office of Management and Budget. ACTION: Revisions to Appendix C of OMB Circular A-94. SUMMARY: The Office of Management and Budget revised Circular A-94 in 1992. The revised Circular specified certain discount rates to be updated annually when the interest rate and inflation assumptions used to prepare the Budget of the United States Government were changed.
These discount rates are found in Appendix C of the revised Circular. The updated discount rates are shown below. The discount rates in Appendix C are to be used for cost-effectiveness analysis, including lease-purchase analysis, as specified in the revised Circular. They do not apply to regulatory analysis. DATES: The revised discount rates will be in effect through December 2018. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Gideon Lukens, Office of Economic Policy, Office of Management and Budget,
(202)395-3316. Jeffrey Schlagenhauf, Associate Director for Economic Policy, Office of Management and Budget. Attachment OMB Circular No. A-94 Appendix C (Revised November 2017) Discount Rates for Cost-Effectiveness, Lease Purchase, and Related Analyses *Effective Dates.* This appendix is updated annually. This version of the appendix is valid for calendar year 2018. A copy of the updated appendix can be obtained in electronic form through the OMB home page at *https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2017/1 l/Appendix-C.pdf.* The text of the Circular is found at *btlps://www.whitehouse.gov/sites/whitehouse.gov/files/omb/cirular/A94/a094.pdf* and a table of past years' rates is located at *https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2017/1l/DISCHIST-2018-1.pdf.* Updates of the appendix are also available upon request from OMB's Office of Economic Policy (202-395-3316). *Nominal Discount R* ates. A forecast of nominal or market interest rates for calendar year 2018 based on the economic assumptions for the 2019 Budget is presented below. These nominal rates are to be used for discounting nominal flows, which are often encountered in lease-purchase analysis. Nominal Interest Rates on Treasury Notes and Bonds of Specified Maturities [In percent] 3-Year 5-Year 7-Year 10-Year 20-Year 30-Year 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.8 2.2 2.6 *Real Discount Rates.* A forecast of real interest rates from which the inflation premium has been removed and based on the economic assumptions from the 2019 Budget is presented below. These real rates are to be used for discounting constant-dollar flows, as is often required in cost effectiveness analysis. Real Interest Rates on Treasury Notes and Bonds of Specified Maturities [In percent] 3-Year 5-Year 7-Year 10-Year 20-Year 30-Year −0.8 −0.6 −0.3 −0.1 0.2 0.6 Analyses of programs with terms different from those presented above may use a linear interpolation. For example, a four-year project can be evaluated with a rate equal to the average of the three-year and five-year rates. Programs with durations longer than 30 years may use the 30-year interest rate. [FR Doc. 2018-02520 Filed 2-7-18; 8:45 am]