Sec. 4. Report required
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Not later than 1 year after the date of enactment of this Act, the President, with support from the committee, shall conduct and submit to Congress a detailed assessment of global catastrophic and existential risk. The report required under subsection
(a)shall include— expert estimates of cumulative global catastrophic and existential risk in the next 30 years, including separate estimates for the likelihood of occurrence and potential consequences; expert-informed analyses of the risk of the most concerning specific global catastrophic and existential threats, including separate estimates, where reasonably feasible and credible, of each threat for its likelihood of occurrence and its potential consequences, as well as associated uncertainties; a comprehensive list of potential catastrophic or existential threats, including even those that may have very low likelihood; technical assessments and lay explanations of the analyzed global catastrophic and existential risks, including their qualitative character and key factors affecting their likelihood of occurrence and potential consequences; an explanation of any factors that limit the ability of the President to assess the risk both cumulatively and for particular threats, and how those limitations may be overcome through future research or with additional resources, programs, or authorities; a review of the effectiveness of intelligence collection, early warning and detection systems, or other functions and programs necessary to evaluate the risk of particular global catastrophic and existential threats, if any exist and as applicable for particular threats; a forecast of if and why global catastrophic and existential risk is likely to increase or decrease significantly in the next 30 years, both qualitatively and quantitatively, as well as a description of associated uncertainties; proposals for how the Federal Government may more adequately assess global catastrophic and existential risk on an ongoing basis in future years; recommendations for legislative actions, as appropriate, to support the evaluation and assessment of global catastrophic and existential risk; and other matters deemed appropriate by the President. In producing the report required under subsection (a), the President shall regularly consult with experts on global catastrophic and existential risks, including from non-governmental, academic, and private sector institutions. The report required under subsection
(a)shall be submitted in unclassified form, but may include a classified annex.